Patrick Moonen and Valentijn van Nieuwenhuijzen (NN Investment Partners) see this as a modest positive for markets in the near-term, but also acknowledge that most of the “good news” on Macron was already priced in recent weeks.
New analysis from State Street Global Advisors (SSGA), the asset management business of State Street Corporation (NYSE:STT), reveals there has been a five fold increase in global assets of sector exchange traded funds (ETFs) since 2008, reaching $394 billion in assets under management (AUM) at the end of 2016, with $35 billion in flows last year alone.
With the ECB expected first to change its communication emphasis over the summer followed by a move to ‘taper’ its quantitative easing programme moving into 2018, investors should expect the ‘one-way’ trend in Eurozone rates to transition to increasingly ‘two-way’ volatility, much as seen in the post-2013 period following the end of the US quantitative easing programme in 2013.
With global equities rising 7% in 1Q2017, valuations appear somewhat high on a historical basis. However, the bulk of this overvaluation is due to elevated multiples in the US, where at 22x trailing earnings, valuations have only been at such a level during the tech bubble of 2000-01.